Satellites to be Built & Launched, 27th edition

A complete analysis and forecast of satellite manufacturing and launch services.

Additional information

Edition

2024

Membership

Classic, Premium, Classic + Software Defined Sats, Premium + Software Defined Sats, Software Defined Sats

Description

Satellites to be Built & Launched is a must-read for the space industry players. This report is based on an in-depth analysis of satellite applications and missions, satellite operators and users, technology advances, and the impact of these factors on the manufacturing and launch industry. It includes a database of all satellites, regardless of mass, that were launched in the last decade, as well as satellites currently under construction, and launch forecast for the next decade. It also provides detailed status and maturity assessments of 550 commercial constellations of five satellites or more and discusses the business cases for the four mega-constellations and their differing vertical integration strategies.

The forecast for satellites to be built and launched is based on a comprehensive assessment of satellite demand, including the evaluation of downstream markets, the strategies and maturity of satellite operators, and the potential emergence of new players or needs in the future.

As the long-term future of satellite demand does not result from the sum of the projects currently known (through satellite backlogs and launch planning), Novaspace applies various discount factors according to their credibility. Therefore, all constellation-related figures presented were derived from Novaspace’s assumptions and do not necessarily reflect the views of the operators.

Key Features

  • Strategic outlook, industry issues and trends
  • Comprehensive analysis of demand and supply distribution
  • More than one hundred of graphs highlighting the key figures
  • Global trends, forecasts and benchmarks by orbits, application, mass categories, type of customers and regions
  • Analysis of the demand through three KPIs: number of satellites, mass to be launched and market value (manufacturing and launch)
  • Detailed market drivers: M&A, fund raising, technical innovation, insurance
  • What to expect for 2025
  • Reality check Vs Previous years
  • Satellite supplier analysis
    • Strategic issues
    • Satellite manufacturing overview and trends
    • Financial and revenues of the manufacturing industry
    • Market share between suppliers
    • GEO comsat demand outlook
    • Constellation maturity and credibility assessment.
    • Satellite platform analysis
    • GEO and NGSO satellites orders backlog
    • Profiling of the 15 largest satellite manufacturers
    • Technical focus on six emerging satellite technologies (5G and 6G in space, edge computing in space, next-generation satellites, quantum computing in space, multi-orbit and multi-band hybrid space solutions)
  • Launch supply analysis
    • Launch industry overview and trends
    • Financial and revenues of the launch industry
    • Market share between suppliers
    • Launch price trends
    • Launchers in operation and in development
    • GEO and NGSO launch orders backlog
    • Profiling of the 8 largest launch service providers
    • Falcon 9’s recovery and reuse case study
    • SpaceX’s vertical integration strategy and diversification case study
    • Impact of reusable launchers and business model of vertically integrated players like SpaceX and Starlink or Amazon and Kuiper
    • Launch rate of GTO launcher
    • Fill rate of commercial launchers
    • Supper heavy launcher analysis
  • Commercial, Government civil and defense satellite demand breakdown by:
    • Mass categories
    • Type of organizations
    • Operators’ region
    • Application
    • Orbit
    • Manufacturing and launch value analysis by region, type of customers, type of providers
    • Commercial constellation CAPEX analysis (launch vs manufacturing).

Two time periods of reference: 10 years of historical trends and 10 years forecasts.

Extensive satellite database, with thousands of data points, covering supply and demand of 10 years.

  • Beyond 10 years: foresight for the space industry by 2043

The chapter features four distinct possible scenarios the space sector in the decade 2034-2043 and attempt to quantify their respective ramifications for satellite indicators in number, mass and value of satellites to be launched.

New in Current Edition

• For the first time, the Satellites to be Built and Launched report extends its forecasting horizon
beyond the typical 10 years, aiming to project the future of the space sector through 2043. This
chapter provides satellite indicators—such as the number of units, mass, and value—using a
foresight methodology developed by Novaspace. This addresses the increasingly complex space
environment, preparing for both tomorrow’s challenges and those of the more distant future.

• As another novelty of this edition, the report features a technical focus on six emerging satellite
technologies (5G and 6G in space, edge computing in space, next-generation satellites, quantum
computing in space, multi-orbit and multi-band hybrid space solutions)

• Focus on the new VLEO satellite platform

• New supplier profiles for MDA, Swissto12, Nanoavionics, MDA, UTIAS, York Space Systems, Blue
Origin, Firefly, ULA

Description of Software Defined Satellites

The report provides an in-depth analysis of software-defined satellites, also referred to as flexible satellites or “flexsats”. It examines platform and payload specifications, technology requirements, and reviews vendors’ offerings as well as customer fit and orders.

Software Defined Satellites explores market drivers, challenges, and opportunities for this emerging market, and offers forecasts for both GEO and NGSO segments based on operators’ profiles and contract statuses.

Related Products

Pricing

Classic

Single team*

€ 8 000
Corporate**
Unlimited users
€ 18 500

In-depth analysis of satellite applications and missions, satellite operators and users, technology trends in PDF format 

Excel databases, covering all satellites, regardless of mass, launched in the last decade, as well as satellites currently under construction, and launch forecast for the next decade

Detailed status and maturity assessments of 550 commercial constellations of five satellites or more and discusses of business cases of the four mega-constellations.

Premium

Single Team*

€ 10 000
Corporate**
Unlimited users
€ 21 000

All classic options

Extended database of all government and commercial satellites launched and to be launched (10-year backlog and forecast), featuring 30 columns with detailed breakdown: constellation, specific application, manufacturing and launch contract status, information about satellite operator, manufacturer and launch provider.

Quarterly update of the satellites launches and manufacturing contracts.

AND/OR***

Software Defined Satellites


The report provides an in-depth analysis of software-defined satellites, also referred to as flexible satellites or “flexsats”. It examines platform and payload specifications, technology requirements, and reviews vendors’ offerings as well as customer fit and orders. Additionally, the report explores market drivers and challenges, offering forecasts for both GEO and NGSO segments based on operators’ profiles and contract statuses.

Click here for more information.

Dedicated presentation session by Novaspace expert.

Software Defined Satellites

Single team*

€ 3 000

A deep dive on software defined satcom payload also known as “flexsat”. This add-on provides a focus on payload specifications and technology requirements, up to date tracking of vendors’ offering and customers’ fit and orders. The add-on focus on market drivers and challenges and features a dedicated forecast in GEO and NGSO.

Click here for more information.

 

*The product is licensed only for a team working together on a project at the same site in the same company. 
**The product is licensed for use throughout the company. The information contained in the report files may be placed on the company Intranet for use of employees throughout the company, from multiple teams, at multiple sites.

***Satellites to be Build and Launched can be purchased with the Premium content and/or with the Software Defined Satellites option.

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